Chart of the Day Bullish EURCAD

EUR: Eurozone economic growth steadied; Germany staved off recession: The second reading of Eurozone 3Q GDP growth was unrevised from its first estimate at 0.2% QOQ (1Q: +0.2%) and was unchanged from 2Q growth, leaving the YOY expansion at a steady 1.2% (2Q: +1.2%). Notably, Germany staved off technical recession to deliver a surprise 0.1% QOQ gain (1Q: -0.2% revised), led by consumer and government spending. The expansion was welcoming but the marginal gain nonetheless reflects the economy’s ongoing weakness, particularly its industrial sector. 

CAD: was able to recover from recent lows, after a supportive day of developments for the Loonie on Thursday. US House Speaker Pelosi said progress was being made with the USMCA trade agreement. On the data front, Canada new home prices rose more than expected. Looking ahead, key standouts on the Friday calendar include a Bank of Canada Lane speech, Canada foreign securities purchases, and US reads in the form of retail sales, empire manufacturing, industrial production and business inventories.

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From a technical and trading perspective, EURCAD appears to be carving out a meaningful low, the EURO found a bid across the board yesterday as Germany managed to stave off recession fears, giving relief to the single currency. The consecutive closes above the near term volume weighted average price, provides conviction for another leg of upside in an AB=CD scenario that will prices test an equidistant swing objective and the monthly R1 at 1.48, as such I will venture long though yesterday's high with a stop below today's low.

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