US GDP Up Next

Over today’s US session, the main data focus will be the release of final Q3 US GDP. The data is expected unchanged at 2.1%. However, amidst a rather quiet pre-Christmas trading week, and given the current stagnation in USD price action, we can always hope for a little action. A weaker than expected reading is unlikely to move the needle much given that the Fed has already pressed ahead with tapering and laid out its plans for next year. However, if we see an upward revision, this might be just the spark that’s needed to get the USD bull move back on track, endorsing hawkish Fed expectations and detracting some of the attention away from omicron fears.

Where to Trade US GDP?

USDJPY

USDJPY has been grinding higher off the 112.72 support base. In light of the longer term bull trend and with both MACD and RSI turning higher here, a solid US print today might prove enough to drive the next leg higher. Look for a break of 114.70, targeting 115.45 and 116.07 thereafter. The retail market is currently around 80% short, suggesting there is plenty of room for the current rally to develop further near term.