Type:
Bearish Breakout

Key Levels:
Resistance: 1.26603
Pivot: 1.24587
Support: 1.21639

Preferred Case:
On the H4, with price moving below the ichimoku cloud, we have a bearish bias that price will break the support structure at the pivot and drop from our pivot at 1.24587 in line with the 61.8% fibonacci projection to the 1st support at 1.21639 at the swing low.

Alternative Scenario:
Alternatively, price may bounce off the pivot and rise to the 1st resistance at 1.26603 in line with the 50% fibonaci retracement.