Chart of the Day CHFJPY
CHF: The SNB remains uncomfortable with Franc appreciation and continues to remind the market it will need to be careful about any attempts at trying to force an appreciation in the currency. But the SNB will also need to be careful right now, as its strategy to weaken the Franc is facing headwinds from a less certain global outlook. Any signs of risk liquidation in 2020, will likely invite a very large wave of demand for the Franc that will put the SNB in the more challenging position of needing to back up its talk with action, that ultimately may not prove to be as effective as it once was, given where we're at in the monetary policy cycle.
JPY: Japan manufacturing downturn deepened at year end: The Jibun Bank Japan Manufacturing PMI slipped to 48.4 in December (Nov: 48.9) to mark its eighth back-to-back contraction in factory conditions, driven by falling output and new orders. IHS Markit said that the manufacturing sector looks to be contributing negatively to 4Q GDP and this, in tandem with the recently weak services PMI suggest that the economy might be in contraction in the last quarter of 2019.
From a technical and trading perspective, CHFJPY has tested symmetry swing support sited at 110.95 this area attracted significant buying interest, resulting in a key outside reversal candle being printed as of last night's New York close. This pattern encourages a bullish posture, as price pierces 112 in a sustained fashion bulls will look to challenge offers and stops above 112.55, a close above this level would further support the bullish thesis creating an equidistant swing objective sited at 114.40
Disclaimer: The material provided is for information purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. The views, information, or opinions expressed in the text belong solely to the author, and not to the author’s employer, organization, committee or other group or individual or company.
High Risk Warning: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 72% and 71% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with Tickmill UK Ltd and Tickmill Europe Ltd respectively. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Disclaimer: The material provided is for information purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. The views, information, or opinions expressed in the text belong solely to the author, and not to the author’s employer, organization, committee or other group or individual or company.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
High Risk Warning: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 75% and 75% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with Tickmill UK Ltd and Tickmill Europe Ltd respectively. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Futures and Options: Trading futures and options on margin carries a high degree of risk and may result in losses exceeding your initial investment. These products are not suitable for all investors. Ensure you fully understand the risks and take appropriate care to manage your risk.
Patrick has been involved in the financial markets for well over a decade as a self-educated professional trader and money manager. Flitting between the roles of market commentator, analyst and mentor, Patrick has improved the technical skills and psychological stance of literally hundreds of traders – coaching them to become savvy market operators!