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Market Insight

FX Options Insights 11/11/24

FX Options Insights 11/11/24FX options point to possible EUR/USD losses, although there is not much of a panic. Following Trump's victory, the risk premium for the US election was swiftly...

Institutional Insights Credit Agricole - Trump 2.0 & FX

USD: Trump 2.0 and Trump’s ‘impossible trinity’Ahead of Donald Trump’s second presidential term, we can draw severallessons from his first term: (1) fiscal stimulus could increase the chancesof a soft...

FX Options Insight 08/11/24

FX Options Insight 08/11/24Following the U.S. election, the currency markets have experienced a significant decrease in volatility, which has resulted in traders unwinding their wagers and tighter...

Institutional Insights: Goldman Sachs - Year End Flow Of Funds Update

Goldman Sachs Tactical Flow-of-Funds: GS Year-End Risk Clearing Checklist Mechanical rebalance flows to create an institutional “FOMO” feedback loop into the best seasonals of the year. ESA Index...

FX Options Insights 07/11/24

FX Options Insights 07/11/24Dealers utilise implied volatility as a stand-in for FX volatility, which is an unknown but important component of an FX option premium. Since Thursday's UK and US...

FX Options Insights 06/11/24

FX Options Insights 06/11/24Ahead of the U.S. election, forward-looking FX options were bracing for heightened FX volatility, reflected in elevated risk premiums. However, post-election, these...

Institutional Insights: Goldman Sachs US Election Results & SP500 Reaction

Institutional Insights: Goldman Sachs US Election Results & SP500 ReactionELECTION REACTION FUNCTIONS FICC and Equities"It's not the voting that's democracy; it's the...

FX Options Insight 05/11/24

FX Options Insight 05/11/24The overnight options expire at 10 a.m. on November 6. The outcome of the U.S. election is now included in New York time, which causes their premiums and break-evens to rise...

Institutional Insights - Citi US Election Cheatsheet

Institutional Insights - Citi US Election CheatsheetMind the markets. Our FX trader warns if initial results indicate Harris doing better than expected, there will likely be a panicky unwind of USD...