Type:
Bearish Drop
Key Levels:
Resistance: 1.2195
Pivot: 1.2076
Support: 1.1980
Preferred Case:
On the H4, as the DIF is crossing below the signal line and MACD histograms are below zero, we have a bearish bias that price may drop from the pivot at 1.2076 where the overlap support, 38.2% fibonacci retracement and 78.6% fibonacci projection are to the 1st support at 1.1980 in line with swing low and 61.8% fibonacci retracement.
Alternative Scenario:
Alternatively, price could rise to 1st resistance at 1.2195 where the overlap resistance is.
Fundamentals:
No major news
Disclaimer: The material provided is for information purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. The views, information, or opinions expressed in the text belong solely to the author, and not to the author’s employer, organization, committee or other group or individual or company.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
High Risk Warning: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 75% and 75% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with Tickmill UK Ltd and Tickmill Europe Ltd respectively. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Futures and Options: Trading futures and options on margin carries a high degree of risk and may result in losses exceeding your initial investment. These products are not suitable for all investors. Ensure you fully understand the risks and take appropriate care to manage your risk.
Desmond Leong runs an award-winning research firm (The Technical Analyst finalists 2018/19/20 for Best FX and Equity Research) advising banks, brokers and hedge funds. Backed by a team of CFA, CMT, CFTe accredited traders, he takes on the market daily using a combination of technical and fundamental analysis.